NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed

Real Time MCS Forecasting Products

 

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Researchers from NSSL and SPC have developed two parameters to aid in the forecasting of MCSs:

 

1) MCS Maintenance Probability (MMP)

2) Derecho Composite Parameter (DCP).

 

Plots of the MMP and DCP are based on output from the operational RUC 40 km grid.

 

Plots for Current Day (updated at ~ t0 + 80 min):

 

REAL_TIME PLOTS HAVE RESUMED FOR 2009

 

0000Z

0300Z

0600Z

0900Z

MMP

DCP

MMP

DCP

MMP

DCP

MMP

DCP

F00

F00

F00

F00

F00

F00

F00

F00

F03

F03

F03

F03

F03

F03

F03

F03

F06

F06

F06

F06

F06

F06

F06

F06

F09

F09

F09

F09

F09

F09

F09

F09

F12

F12

F12

F12

F12

F12

F12

F12

1200Z

1500Z

1800Z

2100Z

MMP

DCP

MMP

DCP

MMP

DCP

MMP

DCP

F00

F00

F00

F00

F00

F00

F00

F00

F03

F03

F03

F03

F03

F03

F03

F03

F06

F06

F06

F06

F06

F06

F06

F06

F09

F09

F09

F09

F09

F09

F09

F09

F12

F12

F12

F12

F12

F12

F12

F12

 

 

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