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Ensemble Cloud Model Applications to Forecasting Thunderstorms
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The Ensemble Heresies
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2x2 Contingency Results

Parameter All Days Combined Limited Convection Days Reflectivity-Based Severe w-based Severe
POD 0.957 0.786 0.625 0.625
FAR 0.385 0.389 0.286 0.0
CSI 0.598 0.524 0.500 0.625
TSS 0.064 0.202 0.425 0.625

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