Research Meteorologist
NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory
Mailing address
National Weather Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072
(405) 325-6170 (office) e-mail: David.Stensrud@noaa.gov
Last updated: 2 October May 2012
Education
M.S. The Pennsylvania State University, University Park (Meteorology)
B.A. University of Wisconsin-Madison (Meteorology, Mathematics)
* Chief Scientist, NOAA Warn-on-Forecast Program, 2012-present.
* Chief, Forecast Research and Development Division, 2008-2012.
* Project Manager, NOAA Warn-on-Forecast Program, 2010-2012.
* Team Leader, Model and Assimilation Team, 1995-2010.
Honors and Awards
Chi Epsilon Pi, Meteorology Honorary Society
Sigma Xi, The Scientific Research Society
NOAA long-term training at The Pennsylvania State University
NOAA Sustained Superior Performance Award 1991, 1992, 1993, 1994
Gold Medal Award (Unit Citation presented to NSSL), U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 1995
Affiliate Assistant Professor, University of Oklahoma, 1996-1999
Affiliate Associate Professor, University of Oklahoma, 1999-2002
Affiliate Professor, University of Oklahoma, 2002-
White House Presidential Early Career Award for Scientists and Engineers, 1996
Clarence Leroy Meisinger Award, American Meteorological Society, 1998
NOAA/Environmental Research Laboratories' Outstanding Scientific Paper Award, 1998 (Stensrud 1996)
NOAA/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research Outstanding Scientific Paper Award, 1999 (Stensrud et al. 1997)
NOAA/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research Outstanding Scientific Paper Award, 2002 (Stensrud et al. 2000)
Sigma Xi Faculty Research Award, University of Oklahoma, 2002
NSSL Outstanding Scientific Paper Award, 2005
NOAA/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research Outstanding Scientific Paper Award, 2008 (Stensrud 2007)
American Meteorological Society Fellow, 2009
Scientific Society Memberships
American Geophysical Union
Sigma Xi, The Scientific Research Society
American Association for the Advancement of Science
Committee and Advisory Panel Memberships
Member, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies Council, 1993-present
Fellow, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, 1993-present
Associate Editor, Monthly Weather Review, 1994-1998
Associate Editor, Weather and Forecasting, 1994-1997
Member, Mesoscale Committee, American Meteorological Society, 1997-1999
Editor, Weather and Forecasting, 1999-2003
Member, Oklahoma Mesonet Steering Committee, 2000-present
Member, Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model Science Oversight Board, 2000-2003
Leader, Ensemble Forecasting Working Group, Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model, 2000-present
Co-chair, Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate, American Meteorological Society, 2003
Joint Chief Editor, Weather and Forecasting, 2004-2006
Liaison, Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research to WRF Model Program Office, 2004-2006
Co-chair, Workshop on the New England High-Resolution Temperature Program, Sturbridge, MA, 2004
Member, WRF Research Advisory Board, 2004-2011
Member, Transition Team, College of Geosciences, University of Oklahoma, 2005
Member, Search Committee, American Airlines and Tommy Craighead Professorships, University of Oklahoma, 2006
Member, Program Committee, First US - China Symposium on Meteorology, 2006-2007
Chair, Mesoscale Processes Committee, American Meteorological Society, 2006-2008
Co-chair, Symposium on Connections between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability, American Meteorological Society, 2007
Invited Lecturer, Summer School on Mesoscale Meteorology and Predictability, Hyytiälä, Finland, August 20-25, 2007.
Participant, Workshop on multi-model ensembles, Naval Research Laboratory, September 11-12, 2008 (invited)
Member, External Review Panel, Naval Research Laboratory, November 2008, Washington, DC
Member, School of Meteorology Director Search Committee, 2008-2009
Invited Lecturer, Parameterization Schemes, Institute for Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, Peoples Republic of China, October 26-30, 2009
Member, Advisory Council, Vice President for Research, University of Oklahoma, 2009-2012
Program Chair, NOAA Warn-on-Forecast Workshop, February 2010
Member, Science Advisory Board, Developmental Testbed Center (DTC), 2010-2012
Program Chair, NOAA Warn-on-Forecast Workshop, February 2011
Chair, Storm-scale Radar Data Assimilation Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma, October 17-18, 2011
Member, National Weather Service Roadmap Team, Numerical Guidance, 2011
Program Chair, NOAA Warn-on-Forecast Workshop, February 2012
Member, Weather Societal Benefit Area Working Group, National Earth Observations Task Force, Office of Science and Technology Policy, 2012
Formal Publications
1. Stensrud, D.J., 1987: The expected branching solution: Preferred wavelengths and orientations. Nonlinear Hydrodynamic Modeling: A Mathematical Introduction, Chapter 12, H.N. Shirer (Ed.), Lecture Notes in Physics, 271, Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, 292-324.
2. Stensrud, D.J., 1987: Euclidean algorithm for finding common roots to polynomials. Nonlinear Hydrodynamic Modeling: A Mathematical Introduction, Appendix B, H.N. Shirer (Ed.), Lecture Notes in Physics, 271, Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, 510-513.
3. Stensrud, D.J., 1987: The method of eliminants for finding common roots to polynomials. Nonlinear Hydrodynamic Modeling: A Mathematical Introduction, Appendix C, H.N. Shirer (Ed.), Lecture Notes in Physics, 271, Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, 514-516.
4. Stensrud, D.J., and H.N. Shirer, 1988: Development of boundary layer rolls from dynamic instabilities. J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 1007-1019.
5. Stensrud, D.J., and R.A. Maddox, 1988: Opposing mesoscale circulations: A case study. Wea. Forecasting, 3, 189-204.
6. Stensrud, D.J., M.H. Jain, K.W. Howard, and R.A. Maddox, 1990: Operational systems for observing the lower atmosphere: Importance of data sampling and archival procedures. J. Atmos. Oceanic Tech., 7, 930-937.
7. Rabin, R.M., S. Stadler, P.J. Wetzel, D.J. Stensrud, and M. Gregory, 1990: Observed effects of landscape variability on convective clouds. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 71, 272-280.
8. Stensrud, D.J., R.A. Maddox, and C.L. Ziegler, 1991: A sublimation-initiated mesoscale downdraft and its relation to the wind field below a precipitating anvil cloud. Mon. Wea. Rev., 119, 2124-2139.
9. Stensrud, D.J., and J.-W. Bao, 1992: Behaviors of variational and nudging assimilation techniques with a chaotic low-order model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 3016-3028.
10. Stensrud, D.J., 1993: Elevated residual layers and their influence on boundary layer evolution. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2284-2293.
11. Stensrud, D.J., and J.M. Fritsch, 1993: Mesoscale convective systems in weakly forced large-scale environments. Part I: Observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 3326-3344.
12. Stensrud, D.J., and J.M. Fritsch, 1994a: Mesoscale convective systems in weakly forced large-scale environments. Part II: Generation of a mesoscale initial condition. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 2068-2083.
13. Stensrud, D.J., and J.M. Fritsch, 1994b: Mesoscale convective systems in weakly forced large-scale environments. Part III: Numerical simulations and implications for operational forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 2084-2104.
14. Zheng, Y., Q. Xu, and D.J. Stensrud, 1995: A numerical study of the 7 May 1985 mesoscale convective system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 1781-1799.
15. Stensrud, D.J., R.L. Gall, S.L. Mullen, and K.W. Howard, 1995: Model climatology of the Mexican monsoon. J. Climate, 8, 1775-1794.
16. Brooks, H.E., M.S. Tracton, D.J. Stensrud, G. DiMego, and Z. Toth, 1995: Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting: Report from a Workshop (25-27 July 1994). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 1617-1624..
17. Cortinas, J. V., Jr., and D. J. Stensrud, 1995: The importance of understanding mesoscale model parameterization schemes for weather forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 10, 716-740.
18. Stensrud, D.J., and J.A. Skindlov, 1996: Grid point predictions of high temperature from a mesoscale model. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 103-110.
19. Douglas, M.W., and D.J. Stensrud, 1996: Upgrading the North American upper-air observing system: What are the possibilities? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 907-924..
20. Stensrud, D.J., 1996: Importance of low-level jets to climate: A review. J. Climate, 9, 1698-1711.
21. Stensrud, D.J., 1996: Effects of a persistent, midlatitude mesoscale region of convection on the large-scale environment during the warm season. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 3503-3527.
22. Stensrud, D.J., R.L. Gall, and M. Nordquist, 1997: Surges over the Gulf of California during the Mexican monsoon. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 417-437.
23. Stensrud, D.J., J.V. Cortinas, Jr., and H.E. Brooks, 1997: Discriminating between tornadic and non-tornadic thunderstorms using mesoscale model output. Wea. Forecasting, 12, 613-632.
24. Romero, R., C. Ramis, S. Alonso, C.A. Doswell III, and D.J. Stensrud, 1998: On the application of a mesoscale numerical simulation model to three heavy rain episodes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1859-1881.
25. Markowski, P.M., and D.J. Stensrud, 1998: Mean Monthly Diurnal Cycles Observed with PRE-STORM Surface Data. J. Climate, 11, 2995-3009.
26. Spencer, P.L., and D.J. Stensrud, 1998: Simulating flash flood events: Importance of the sub-grid representation of convection. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 2884-2912.
27. Pereira, A.J.F., K.C. Crawford, and D.J. Stensrud, 1999: Mesoscale precipitation fields. Part II: Hydrometeorologic modeling. J. Appl. Meteor., 38, 102-125.
28. Stensrud, D.J., H.E. Brooks, J. Du, M.S. Tracton, and E. Rogers, 1999: Using ensembles for short-range forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 433-446.
29. Stensrud, D.J., G.Manikin, E. Rogers, and K. Mitchell, 1999: Importance of cold pools to mesoscale model forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 650-670.
30. Stensrud, D.J., J.-W. Bao, and T.T. Warner, 2000: Using Initial Condition and Model Physics Perturbations in Short-range Ensemble Simulations of Mesoscale Convective Systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 2077-2107.
31. Brooks, H.E., and D.J. Stensrud, 2000: Climatology of heavy rain events in the United States from hourly precipitation observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 1194-1201.
32. Stensrud, D.J., and M. Wandishin, 2000: Correspondence and spread ratios in forecast verification. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 593-602.
33. Crawford, T.M., D.J. Stensrud, T.N. Carlson, and W.J. Capehart, 2000: Using the soil hydrology model to initialize soil moisture. J. Hydrometr., 1, 353-363.
34. Stensrud, D.J., H.E. Brooks, J. Du, M.S. Tracton, and E. Rogers, 2000: Reply to comments on "Using ensembles for short-range forecasting". Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 3021-3023.
35. Fuller, R.D. and D.J. Stensrud, 2000: The relationship between easterly waves and surges over the Gulf of California during the North American monsoon. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 2983-2989.
36. Xu, M., T.T. Warner, J.-W. Bao, and D.J. Stensrud, 2001: Effect of time-step size in MM5 simulations of a mesoscale convective system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 502-516.
37. Xu, M., D.J. Stensrud, J.-W. Bao, and T.T. Warner, 2001: Applications of the adjoint technique to short-range ensemble forecasting of mesoscale convective systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 1395-1418.
38. Wandishin, M.S., S.L. Mullen, D.J. Stensrud, and H.E. Brooks, 2001: Evaluation of a short-range multi-model ensemble system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 729-747.
39. Coniglio, M.C., and D.J. Stensrud, 2001: Simulation of a progressive derecho using composite initial conditions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 1593-1616.
40. D.J. Stensrud, 2001: Using short-range ensemble forecasts for predicting severe weather events. Atmos. Research, 56, 3-17.
41. Stensrud, D.J., and J.L. Anderson, 2001: Is midlatitude convection an active or a passive player in producing global circulation patterns? J. Climate , 14, 2222-2237.
42. Crawford, T.M., D.J. Stensrud, F. Mora, and J.W. Merchant, 2001: Value of incorporating satellite-derived land cover data in MM5/PLACE for simulating surface temperatures. J. Hydrometeorology, 2, 453-468.
43. Errico, R.M., D.J. Stensrud, and K. Raeder, 2001: Estimation of the error statistics of precipitation produced by convective parameterization schemes for application to the variational assimilation of precipitation observations. Quart. J. Royal. Meteor. Soc., 127, 2495-2512.
44. Alhamed, A., S. Lakshmivarahan, and D.J. Stensrud, 2002: Cluster analysis of multi-model ensemble data from SAMEX. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 226-256.
45. Elmore, K.L., D.J. Stensrud, and K.C. Crawford, 2002: Ensemble cloud model applications to thunderstorm forecasting. J. Appl. Meteor, 41, 363-383.
46. Elmore, K.L., D.J. Stensrud, and K.C. Crawford, 2002: Cloud scale model forecasts: Extreme sensitivity to environmental conditions. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 873-884.
47. Higgins, R.W., A. Douglas, A. Hahmann, E.H. Berbery, D. Gutzler, J. Shuttleworth, D. Stensrud, J. Amador, R. Carbone, M. Cortez, M. Douglas, R. Lobato, J. Meitin, C. Ropelewski, J. Schemm, S. Schubert, and C. Zhang, 2003: Progress in Pan American CLIVAR research: The North American monsoon system. Atmosphera, 16, 29-65.
48. Stensrud, D.J., and S.J. Weiss, 2002: Mesoscale model ensemble forecasts of the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 526-543.
49. Homar, V., R. Romero, D.J. Stensrud, C. Ramis, and S. Alonso, 2003: Numerical diagnosis of a small, quasi-tropical cyclone over the western Mediterranean: Dynamical vs. boundary factors. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, 1469-1490.
50. Kurkowski, N.P., D.J. Stensrud, and M.E. Baldwin, 2003: Assessment of implementing satellite-derived land cover data in the Eta model. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 404-416.
51. Stensrud, D.J., H.E. Brooks, and S.J. Weiss, 2003: Weather prediction: Severe weather forecasting. Encyclopedia of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 6, Academic Press, New York, 2568-2576.
52. Stensrud, D.J., and N. Yussouf, 2003: Short-range ensemble predictions of 2-m temperature and dewpoint temperature over New England. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 2510-2524.
53. Marshall, C.H. Jr., K.C. Crawford, K.E. Mitchell, and D.J. Stensrud, 2003: Evaluation and testing of the land-surface parameterization in the operational NCEP Eta model using Oklahoma Mesonet data. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 748-768.
54. Spencer, P.L., D.J. Stensrud, and J.M. Fritsch, 2003: A method for improved analyses of scalars and their derivatives. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 2555-2576.
55. Brooks, H., C. Doswell III, D. Dowell, R. Holle, B. Johns, D. Jorgenson, D. Schultz, D. Stensrud, S. Weiss, L. Wicker, and D. Zaras, 2003: Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. Handbook of Weather, Climate, and Water: Dynamics, Climate, Physical Meteorology, Weather Systems, and Measurements, Chapter 29, T.D. Potter and B.R. Colman (Eds.), John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, New Jersey, 575-619.
56. McPherson, R.A., D.J. Stensrud, and K.C. Crawford, 2004: The impact of Oklahomas winter wheat belt on the mesoscale environment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132,405-421.
57. Coniglio, M.C., D.J. Stensrud, and M.B. Richman, 2004: An observational study of derecho-producing convective systems. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 320-327.
58. Schultz, D.M., D.S. Arndt, and D.J. Stensrud, 2004: Banded snow showers during the cold-air outbreak of 23 January 2003. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 827-842.
59. Coniglio, M.C., and D.J. Stensrud, 2004: On the climatology of derechos. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 595-605.
60. Homar, V., and D.J. Stensrud, 2004: Sensitivities of an intense cyclone over the western Mediterranean. Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130, 2519-2540.
61. Yussouf, N., D.J. Stensrud, and S. Lakshmivarahan, 2004: Cluster analysis of multimodel ensemble data over New England. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2452-2462.
62. Nutter, P. D. Stensrud, and M. Xue, 2004: Effects of coarsely-resolved and temporally-interpolated lateral boundary conditions on the dispersion of limited-area ensemble forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2358-2377.
63. Nutter, P., M. Xue, and D. Stensrud, 2004: Application of lateral boundary condition perturbations to help restore dispersion in limited-area forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2378-2390.
64. Roebber, P. J., D.M. Schultz, B.A. Colle, and D.J. Stensrud, 2004: The risks and rewards of high-resolution and ensemble numerical weather prediction. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 936-949.
65. Segele, Z.T., D.J. Stensrud, I.C. Ratcliffe, and G.M. Henebry, 2004: Influence of a hailstreak on boundary layer evolution. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 942-960.
66. McPherson, R.A., and D.J. Stensrud, 2005: Influences of a winter wheat belt on the evolution of the boundary layer. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 2178-2199.
67. Stensrud, D.J., M.C. Coniglio, R.P. Davies-Jones, and J.S. Evans, 2005: Comments on "A Theory for Strong Long-Lived Squall Lines Revisited". J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 2989-2996.
68. Stensrud, D.J., and N. Yussouf, 2005: Bias-corrected short-range ensemble forecasts of near surface variables. Meteor. Appl., 12, 217-230.
69. Stensrud, D. J., and H. E. Brooks, 2006: The future of peer review? Wea. Forecasting, 20, 825-826.
70. Stensrud, D. J., 2006: Perspectives on the "New England High-Resolution Temperature Program Workshop: Improving weather forecast services used by the electric utility industry". Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 499-501.
71. Stensrud, D.J., N. Yussouf, M. E. Baldwin, J. T. McQueen, J. Du, B. Zhou, B. Ferrier, G. Manikin, F. M. Ralph, J. M. Wilczak, A. B. White, I. Djlalova, J.-W. Bao, R. J. Zamora, S. B. Benjamin, P. A. Miller, T. L. Smith, T. Smirnova, and M. F. Barth, 2006: The New England High-Resolution Temperature Program (NEHRTP). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 491-498.
72. Coniglio, M. C., D. J. Stensrud, and L. J. Wicker, 2006: Effects of upper-level shear on the structure and maintenance of strong quasi-linear mesoscale convective systems. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 1231-1252.
73. Homar, V., D. J. Stensrud, J. J. Levit, and D. R. Bright, 2006: Value of human-generated perturbations in short-range ensemble forecasts of severe weather. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 347-363.
74. Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2006: Predicting near surface variables at any unobserved location from a bias corrected ensemble forecasting system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3415-3424.
75. Stensrud, D. J., and N. Yussouf, 2007: Reliable probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts from a short-range ensemble forecasting system. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 3-17.
76. Stensrud, D. J., 2007: Parameterization Schemes: Keys to Understanding Numerical Weather Prediction Models. Cambridge University Press, 488 pp. [Reissued as paperback version 2009]
77. Fujita, T., D. J. Stensrud, and D. C. Dowell, 2007: Surface data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter approach with initial condition and model physics uncertainty. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 1846-1868.
78. Adams, J. L., and D. J. Stensrud, 2007: Impact of tropical easterly waves on the North American monsoon. J. Climate, 20, 1219-1238.
79. Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2007: Bias-corrected short-range ensemble forecasts of near surface variables during the 2005/06 cool season. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1274-1286.
80. Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2008: Reliable probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts from a short-range ensemble forecasting system during the 2005-2006 cool season. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 2157-2172.
81. Godfrey, C. M., and D. J. Stensrud, 2008: Soil temperature and moisture errors in Eta Model analyses. J. Hydrometeor., 9, 367-387.
82. Fujita, T., D. J. Stensrud, and D. C. Dowell, 2008: Precipitation-data assimilation in an ensemble Kalman filter system with initial condition and model physics uncertainties. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 357-372.
83. Wandishin, M. S., D. J. Stensrud, S. L. Mullen, and L. J. Wicker, 2008: On the predictability of mesoscale convective systems: Two-dimensional simulations. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 773-785.
84. Anabor, V., D. J. Stensrud, and O. L. L. de Moraes, 2008: Serial upstream-propagating mesoscale convective system events over southeastern South America. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 3087-3105.
85. Homar, V., and D. J. Stensrud, 2008: Subjective vs. objective sensitivity estimates: Application to a North African cyclogenesis. Tellus, 60A, 1064-1078.
86. Engerer, N. A., D. J. Stensrud, and M. C. Coniglio, 2008: Surface characteristics of observed cold pools. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 4839-4849.
87. Ladwig, W. C., and D. J. Stensrud, 2009: Relationship between tropical easterly waves and precipitation during the North American monsoon. J. Climate, 22, 258-271.
88. James, K. A., D. J. Stensrud, and N. Yussouf, 2009: Value of real-time vegetation fraction to forecasts of severe convection in high-resolution models. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 187-210.
89. Heinselman, P. L., D. J. Stensrud, R. M. Hluchan, P. L. Spencer, P. C. Burke, and K. L. Elmore, 2009: Radar reflectivity-based estimates of mixed-layer depth. J. Atmos. Oceanic Tech., 26, 229-239.
90. Lakshmivarahan, S., and D. J. Stensrud, 2009: Ensemble Kalman filter: Application to meteorological data assimilation. IEEE Control Systems Magazine, 29, 34-46.
91. Stensrud, D. J., N. Yussouf, D. C. Dowell, and M. C. Coniglio, 2009: Assimilating surface data into a mesoscale model ensemble: Cold pool analyses from spring 2007. Atmos. Res., 93, 207-220.
92. Stensrud, D. J., M. Xue, L. J. Wicker, K. E. Kelleher, M. P. Foster, J. T. Schaefer, R. S. Schneider, S. G. Benjamin, S. S. Weygandt, J. T. Ferree, and J. P. Tuell, 2009: Convective-scale warn on forecast: A vision for 2020. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 1487-1499.
93. Anabor, V., and D. J. Stensrud, 2009: Simulation of a serial upstream-propagating mesoscale convective system event over southeastern South America. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2144-2163.
94. Reeves, H. D., and D. J. Stensrud, 2009: Synoptic-scale flow and valley cold pool evolution in the western United States. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 1625-1643.
95. Stensrud, D. J., and J. Gao, 2010: Importance of horizontally inhomogeneous environmental initial conditions to ensemble storm-scale radar data assimilation and very short range forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 1250-1272.
96. Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2010: Impact of high temporal frequency phased array radar data to storm-scale ensemble data assimilation using observation system simulation experiments. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 517-538.
97. Wandishin, M. S., D. J. Stensrud, S. L. Mullen, and L. J. Wicker, 2010: On the predictability of mesoscale convective systems: Three-dimensional simulations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 836-885.
98. Wheatley, D. M., and D. J. Stensrud, 2010: The impact of assimilating surface pressure observations on severe weather events in a WRF mesoscale ensemble system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 1673-1694.
99. Godfrey, C. M., and D. J. Stensrud, 2010: An empirical latent heat flux parameterization for the Noah land surface model. J. Appl. Meteor. and Climatol., 49, 1696-1713.
100. Coniglio, M. C., J. Y. Hwang, and D. J. Stensrud, 2010: Environmental factors in the upscale growth and longevity of mesoscale convective systems from the rapid update cycle analyses. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 3514-3539.
Coniglio, M. C., J. Y. Hwang, and D. J. Stensrud, 2011: Corrigendum. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2686-2688.
101. Reeves, H. D., K. L. Elmore, G. S. Manikin, and D. J. Stensrud, 2011: Assessment of forecasts during persistent valley cold pools in the Bonneville Basin by the North American Mesoscale Model. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 447-467.
102. Clark, D. J., J. S. Kain, D. J. Stensrud, M. Xue, F. Kong, M.C. Coniglio, K. W. Thomas, Y. Wang, K. Brewster, X. Wang, S. J. Weiss, and J. Du, 2011: Probabilistic precipitation forecast skill as a function of ensemble size and spatial scale in a convection-allowing ensemble. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 1410-118.
103. Melnikov, V. M., R. J. Doviak, D. S. Zrnic, and D. J. Stensrud, 2011: Mapping Bragg scatter with a polarimetric WSR-88D. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 28, 1273-1285.
104. Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2012: Comparison of single-parameter and multi-parameter ensembles for assimilation of radar observations using the ensemble Kalman filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 562-586.
105. Elmore, K. L., P. L. Heinselman, and D. J. Stensrud, 2012: Using WSR-88D data and insolation estimates to determine convective boundary layer depth. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 29, 581-588.
106. Wheatley, D. M., D. J. Stensrud, D. C. Dowell, and N. Yussouf, 2012: Application of a WRF mesoscale data assimilation system to springtime severe weather events 2007-2009. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 1539-1557.
107. Gao, J., and D. J. Stensrud, 2012: Assimilation of reflectivity data in a convective-scale, cycled 3DVAR framework with hydrometeor classification. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 1054-1065.
108. Jones, T. A., and D. J. Stensrud, 2012: Assimilation of AIRS temperature and mixing ratio profiles using an ensemble Kalman filter approach for convective-scale forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, in press.
109. Stensrud, D. J., and Co-authors, 2012: Status and challenges with Warn-on-Forecast. Atmos. Res., in press.
Informal Publications
1. Stensrud, D.J., 1985: On the development of boundary layer rolls from the inflection point instability. M.S. Thesis, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, 125 pp.
2. Stensrud, D.J., 1985: On the development of boundary layer rolls from the inflection point instability. Program Abstracts, Fifth Conf. Atmos. Oceanic Waves and Stability, March, New Orleans, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 111.
3. Stensrud, D.J., and D.W. Burgess, 1987: 1986 Spring Program Summary. NOAA Tech. Memo. ERL NSSL-100, February, National Severe Storms Lab., Norman, 54 pp.
4. Stensrud, D.J., and R.A. Maddox, 1987: A case study of colliding outflows in a conditionally unstable atmosphere without subsequent convection. Extended Abstracts, Third Conf. Mesoscale Processes, August, Vancouver, B.C., Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc, 213.
5. Stensrud, D.J., and J.M. Fritsch, 1991: Incorporating mesoscale convective outflows in mesoscale model initial conditions. Preprints, Ninth Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, October, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 798-801.
6. Stensrud, D.J., and J.-W. Bao, 1991: A comparison of adjoint and nudging assimilation techniques using a low-order model. Preprints, Ninth Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, October, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 173-176.
7. Stensrud, D.J., 1992: Southward burst mesoscale convective systems: An observational and numerical study. Ph.D. Dissertation, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, 184 pp.
8. Stensrud, D.J., and J.M. Fritsch, 1992: Southward burst mesoscale convective systems in a weakly-forced environment. Abstracts, International Symposium on Torrential Rains and Floods, Huangshan City, Anhui Province, People's Republic of China, 166-167.
9. Brooks, H.E., D.J. Stensrud, and J.V. Cortinas, Jr., 1993: The use of mesoscale models to initialize cloud-scale models for convective forecasting. Preprints, Thirteenth Conf. Wea. Anal. and Forecasting, August, Vienna, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 301-304.
10. Cortinas, J.V., Jr., D.J. Stensrud, and H.E. Brooks, 1993: A simulation of a severe weather event in the southeastern United States. Preprints, Seventeenth Conf. Severe Local Storms, October, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 623-627.
11. Zheng, Y., Q. Xu, D.J. Stensrud, and S. Chen, 1993: Numerical simulations of the 6-7 May 1985 mesoscale convective system. Preprints, Seventeenth Conf. Severe Local Storms, October, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 516-519.
12. Zheng, Y., Q. Xu, and D.J. Stensrud, 1993: A numerical study of the 7 May 1985 mesoscale convective system. Abstracts, The Third PSU/NCAR Model Users' Workshop, NCAR, 16.
13. Cortinas, J.V., Jr., D.J. Stensrud, and H.E. Brooks, 1993: A simulation of a convective event using the MM4 and a cloud-scale model. Abstracts, The Third PSU/NCAR Model Users' Workshop, NCAR, 42.
14. Stensrud, D.J., R.L. Gall, and S.L. Mullen, 1993: The North American monsoon. Abstracts, The Third PSU/NCAR Model Users' Workshop, NCAR, 40-41.
15. Stensrud, D.J., R.L. Gall, S.L. Mullen, and K.W. Howard, 1994: Model climatology of the Mexican monsoon. Preprints, Tenth Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, July, Portland, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 535-537.
16. Cortinas, J.V., Jr., and D.J. Stensrud, 1994: The mesoscale features associated with severe convective weather. Preprints, Tenth Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, July, Portland, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,606-608.
17. Stensrud, D.J., and S. Pfeiffer, 1995: Summertime low-level jets over the Great Plains. Proceedings, Fifth Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program Science Team Meeting, March, San Diego, CA, Dept. of Energy, 4 pp.
18. Stensrud, D.J., 1995: Effects of a persistent, midlatitude mesoscale region of convection on the large-scale environment. Preprints, Tenth Conf. on Atmos. and Oceanic Waves and Stability, June, Big Sky, MT, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 233-234.
19. Stensrud, D.J., 1996: Regional features important to the development of severe thunderstorms in the desert southwest. Preprints, Eighteenth Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 221-224.
20. Brooks, H.E., D.J. Stensrud, and C.A. Doswell III, 1996: Application of short-range NWP models to severe storm forecasting. Preprints, Eighteenth Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 342-345.
21. Stensrud, D.J., H.E. Brooks, and D.V. Mitchell, 1996: Validation of the short-range ensemble forecasts in upper-levels. Preprints, Eleventh Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J72-J74.
22. Stensrud, D.J., J.-W. Bao, Y. Zheng, and T.T. Warner, 1996: Ensemble forecasting of convective weather events. Preprints, Eleventh Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J50-J51.
23. Brooks, H.E., D.J. Stensrud, and M.S. Tracton, 1996: Short-range ensemble forecasting pilot project: A status report. Preprints, Eleventh Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J39-J40.
24. Manikin, G.S., K.E. Mitchell, E. Rogers, and D.J. Stensrud, 1996: Severe weather forecasts using the Eta and meso Eta models. Preprints, Fifteenth Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 295-296.
25. Brooks, H.E., J.V. Cortinas, Jr., P. Janish, and D.J. Stensrud, 1996: Application of short-range numerical ensembles to the forecasting of hazardous winter weather. Preprints, Fifteenth Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J70-J71.
26. Stensrud, D.J., R.L. Gall, D.S. Andrus, and M. K. Nordquist, 1996: Surges over the Gulf of California during the Mexican monsoon. Preprints, Seventh Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Reading, United Kingdom, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 329-331.
27. McQueen, J., J. Ching, K. Mitchell, T. Schlatter, and D. Stensrud, 1996: NOAA mesoscale modelers' report: Opportunities for collaboration. NOAA, 46 pp. [Available from NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, 1315 East-West Highway, Room 3152, Silver Spring, MD 20910.]
28. Brooks, H.E., D.J. Stensrud, and D.V. Mitchell, 1997: Climatology of extreme rain events in the United States from hourly precipitation observations. Proceedings, Twenty Years Later: What We Have Learned Since the Big Thompson Flood. Fort Collins, Colorado, 13-15 July 1976, Colorado Natural Hazards Mitigation Institute, Special Pub. No. 33, E. Gruntfest, Ed., 103-110.
29. Brooks, H.E., and D.J. Stensrud, 1997: The role of environmental humidity in the moisture budget of thunderstorms. Proceedings of the Sixth Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program Science Team Meeting, San Antonio, TX, 4-7 March 1996, U.S. Dept. of Energy, 31-34.
30. Stensrud, D.J., D.V. Mitchell, and S. Pfeifer, 1997: Summertime low-level jets over the Great Plains. Proceedings of the Sixth Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program Science Team Meeting, San Antonio, TX, 4-7 March 1996, U.S. Dept. of Energy, 305-308.
31. Kain, J.S., M.E. Baldwin, D.J. Stensrud, T.L. Black, and G.S. Manikin, 1998: Considerations for the implementation of a convective parameterization scheme in an operational mesoscale model. Preprints, Twelth Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103-106.
32. Manikin, G.S., K.E. Mitchell, D.J. Stensrud, J.S. Kain, J. Gerrity, and M.E. Baldwin, 1998: Convective scheme tests on the coastal prediction bias in the NCEP eta model. Preprints, Twelth Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 107-110.
33. Spencer, P.L., and D.J. Stensrud, 1998: Simulating flash flood events: Importance of the sub-grid representation of convection. Preprints, Twelth Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 116-119.
34. Stensrud, D.J., G. Manikin, E. Rogers, and K. Mitchell, 1998: Importance of cold pools to mesoscale model forecasts. Preprints, Twelth Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 153-156.
35. Stensrud, D.J., J.-W. Bao, and T.T. Warner, 1998: Ensemble forecasting of mesoscale convective systems. Preprints, Twelth Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 265-268.
36. Kain, J.S., D.J. Stensrud, M.E. Baldwin, and G.S. Manikin, 1998: A comparison of two convective parameterization schemes in NCEP's mesoeta model and the implications for quantitative precipitation forecasting. Preprints, Twelth Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J24-J26.
37. Manikin, G.S., K.E. Mitchell, and D.J. Stensrud, 1998: The impact of a cold pool initialization scheme on a QPF forecast using the NCEP mesoscale eta model. Preprints, Sixteenth Conf. on Wea. Forecasting and Analysis, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 121-123.
38. Brooks, H.E., D.J. Stensrud, and S.L. Mullen, 1998: Real-time short-range forecasting with a mesoscale model. Preprints, Symposium on the United States Weather Research Program, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 535.
39. Coniglio, M., and D.J. Stensrud, 1998: Mechanisms that produce derechos in weakly-forced large-scale environments. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 40-43.
40. Stensrud, D.J., and R.D. Fuller, 1999: The relationship between tropical easterly waves and surges over the Gulf of California during the North American monsoon. Preprints, 8th Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4 pp.
41. Crawford, T.M., D.J. Stensrud, and T.N. Carlson, 2000: Using the soil hydrology model to initialize soil moisture profiles for numerical prediction models. Preprints, 15th Conf. on Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 11-14.
42. Stensrud, D.J., T.M. Crawford, F. Mora, and J.W. Merchant, 2000: Improvement in landuse specifications in MM5/PLACE. Preprints, 15th Conf. on Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 47-50.
43. Stensrud, D.J., 2000: Using short-range ensemble forecasts for predicting severe weather events. Presentation at European Conference on Tornadoes and Severe Storms, Toulouse, France, Observatorie Midi-Pyrenees and Meteo-France.
44. Weiss, S.J., and D.J. Stensrud, 2000: Mesoscale model ensemble forecasts of the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 17-20.
45. Coniglio, M.C., and D.J. Stensrud, 2000: Simulation of a progressive derecho using composite initial conditions. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 48-51.
46. Tribble, A.N., and D.J. Stensrud, 2000: Sensitivity of a flash flood simulation to convective and boundary layer parameterization schemes. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 538-539.
47. Spencer, P.L., D.J. Stensrud, and J.M. Fritsch, 2000: Comparing two methods for wind analysis: Numerical simulations of a severe convective event. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 579-582.
48. Elmore, K.L., D.J. Stensrud, and K.C. Crawford, 2000: Ensemble cloud model applications to thunderstorm foreasting. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J59-J64.
49. Kurkowski, N.P., and D.J. Stensrud, 2002: Assessment of implementing satellite-derived land cover data in the Eta model. Preprints, 16th Conf. On Hydrology, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J98-J99.
50. Stensrud, D.J., 2002: Importance of tropical easterly waves to the development of surges over the Gulf of California. Preprints, 19th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 198-201.
51. Nutter, P., D. Stensrud, and M. Xue, 2002: Effects of nesting frequency and lateral boundary perturbations on the dispersion of limited-area ensemble forecasts. Preprints, 19th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 312-315.
52. Coniglio, M.C., D.J. Stensrud, and M.B. Richman, 2002: An observational study of derecho-producing convective systems. Preprints, 21st Conf. On Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 9-12.
53. Stensrud, D.J., 2003: Ask the Wizard. Discover Magazine, Vol. 24, No. 1, p. 12.
54. Stensrud, D.J., N.P. Kurkowski, and M.E. Baldwin, 2003: An evaluation of using real-time, satellite-derived vegetation fraction in the Eta model. Preprint CD, Symp. on Variability of Water in Weather and Climate, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., paper J8.3.
55. Stensrud, D.J., 2003: Predictability of intermittent mesoscale phenomena. Preprints, 10th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Portland, OR, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Paper 2.1.
56. Bright, D.R., S.J. Weiss, J.J. Levit, and D.J. Stensrud, 2003: The utility of short-range ensemble forecasts in the real-time prediction of severe weather at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 10th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Portland, OR, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Paper 2.8.
57. Homar, V., and D.J. Stensrud, 2003: Sensitivities of an intense cyclone over the western Mediterranean. Preprints, 10th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Portland, OR, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Paper 3.5.
58. Levit, J., D. Stensrud, D. Bright, and S. Weiss, 2004: Evaluation of short-range ensemble forecasts during the SPC/NSSL 2003 Spring Program. Preprints, 16th Conf. On Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
59. Stensrud, D.J., and L.J. Wicker, 2004: On the predictability of mesoscale convective systems. Preprints, International Conference on Storms, Brisbane, Australia, Aust. Meteor. Ocean. Society, 62-67.
60. Homar, V., D. J. Stensrud, and J. J. Levit, 2004: Severe weather forecasts from an ensemble of human-perturbed simulations using an adjoint model. Preprints, 22nd Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
61. Coniglio, M.C., D.J. Stensrud, and L.W. Wicker, 2004: How mid- and upper-level shear can promote organized convective systems. 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., paper 10.5.
62. Godfrey, C. M., D. J. Stensrud, and L. M. Leslie, 2005: The influence of improved land surface and soil data on mesoscale model predictions. 19th Conf. Hydrology, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., paper 4.7.
63. Adams, J. L., and D. J. Stensrud, 2005: Impact of tropical easterly waves on gulf surges during the North American Monsoon. Sixth Conf. Coastal Meteor., San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., paper 5.7.
64. Taylor, A. A., L. M. Leslie, and D. J. Stensrud, 2005: Forecasts of near-surface variables using a coupled atmosphere-land surface model. 19th Conf. Hydrology, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., paper 1.6.
65. Fujita, T., D. J. Stensrud, and D. C. Dowell, 2005: Surface data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter approach with initial condition and model physics uncertainties. Preprint, 10th Conf. on Mesoscale Meteorology, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Albuquerque, NM, Paper X.X.
66. Godfrey, C. M., D. J. Stensrud, and L. M. Leslie, 2006: Soil temperature and moisture errors in Eta Model analyses. 20th Conf. on Hydrology, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Atlanta, GA, Paper JP1.2.
67. Godfrey, C. M., D. J. Stensrud, and L. M. Leslie, 2007: A new latent heat flux parameterization for land surface models. 21st Conf. on Hydrology, Amer. Meteor. Soc., San Antonio, TX, Paper 6A.3.
Other informal publications available upon request.
Presentations and Seminars since 2004
National Severe Storms Laboratory
International Conference on Storms, Brisbane, Australia (invited)
Iowa State University, Ames, IA (invited)
New England High-resolution Temperature Forecasting Program Workshop, Sturbridge, MA
Weathernews First Inaugural Symposium, Norman, OK (invited)
University of the Balearic Islands, Palma, Spain (invited)
Royal Meteorological Society Symposium, Exeter, United Kingdom
Ensemble Kalman Filter Workshop, Balcones Springs, TX
International Workshop on Decision-Making in Weather Impacted Disasters, Norman, OK (invited)
12th Conf. on Mesoscale Meteorology, Waterville, NH, August 2007
Summer School on Mesoscale Meteorology and Predictability, Hyytiala, Finland, August 2007 (invited)
First U.S.-China Symposium on Mesoscale Meteorology, Norman, OK
Third Workshop on Ensemble-based Data Assimilation, Balcones Springs, TX, April 2008
24th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Savannah, GA, October 2008
OAR Senior Research Council, Washington DC, June 2009 (invited)
13th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, Salt Lake City, UT, August 2009
National Workshop on Mesoscale Probabilistic Prediction, Boulder, CO, September, 2009 (invited)
Invited Lecturer, Parameterization Schemes, Institute for Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, People's Republic of China, October 26-30, 2009
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, January 2010 (invited)
Texas A&M University, Department of Meteorology, February 2010 (invited)
James F. Kimpel Symposium, National Weather Center, Norman, Oklahoma, June 2010 (invited)
The Pennsylvania State University, 75th Anniversary Symposium, Department of Meteorology, July 2010 (invited)
25th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Keynote Speaker, Denver, CO, October 2010 (invited)
Workshop on Model Physics, Camp Springs, MD, July 2011 (invited)
14th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, Los Angeles, CA, August 2011
6th European Conference on Severe Storms, Palma de Mallorca, Spain, October 2011
National Academies Committee on the Assessment of the NWS's Modernization Program, November 2012 (invited)
Weather Ready Nation: A Vital Conversation Workshop, Norman, OK, December 2011 (invited)
UCAR Briefing to Congress, Saving Lives in the Path of Destructive Tornadoes, April 2012 (invited)
Transportation Safety Advancement Group, ITS America, Washington, DC, May 2012 (invited)
WRF Users Workshop, Overview of Convection Parameterization, NCAR, June 2012 (invited)
Research Experience for Undergraduates, Norman, Oklahoma, July 2012 (invited)
Teaching Experience