Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting Workshop

Agenda

National Meteorological Center, Camp Springs, Maryland

25 - 27 July 1994

Sponsored by the National Meteorological Center and the National Severe Storms Laboratory

25 July (Monday)

1:30-2:00 Welcome and Introductions


James Howcroft, NMC
Harold Brooks, NSSL

2:00-5:00 Session I: Operational Experiences in Ensemble Forecasting (Methods to generate the ensemble, dissemination, and results - 30 to 40 minutes each)

Steve Tracton, NMC
David Richardson, UKMO (including ECMWF work)
Louis Lefaivre, CMC
Harutoshi Goda, JMA
Robert Mureau, KNMI

26 July (Tuesday)

8:00-12:00 Session II: Philosophy, Techniques, Results of Early Experiments, and General Troublemaking (20-30 min each)

David Baumhefner, NCAR
Michael Fritsch and Robert Vislocky, Penn State University
David Stensrud, NSSL
Chuck Doswell, NSSL
Allan Murphy, Free Agent
Lance Leslie, New South Wales
Zoltan Toth, NMC

1:00-5:00 Session II (cont.):

Kerry Emanuel, MIT

Thomas Hamill, Cornell University
Eugenia Kalnay, NMC

Tomislava Vukicevic, NCAR
Martin Ehrendorfer, NCAR
Steve Mullen, University of Arizona
Fred Sanders, Free Agent
Jun Du, University of Arizona
Paul Dallavalle, NMC/TDL

27 July (Wednesday)

8:30-8:45 Session II (cont.):

Stephen Lord, NMC

8:45-10:30 Session III: General discussion

10:45-12:00 Session IV: Breakout session

Generation of the ensemble (Stensrud-Chair)
Communication of results (Tracton-Chair)

1:00-2:15 Session V: Summary

Reports from breakouts
Recommendations
Future research plans


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