|
|
FUTURE RESEARCH
DIRECTIONS
On this web page, we're made a lot of recommendations about what
not to do when assessing MSI, but ultimately, we can't claim to
have all the answers. The kind of research that's been done up to the
present hasn't really provided a lot of insight into how slantwise
convection initiates and how we can alter our forecasts when we
believe slantwise convection will be present. Typically, case studies
present the standard M-theta-e cross section and show near-neutral
conditions, thereby, justifying their claim that CSI led to heavier
than usual precipitation amounts. This kind of research isn't helping
us understand the mechanisms of slantwise convection any better. New
approaches from fresh perspectives are drastically needed. Here are
some suggestions.
- assessing MSI: While we have recommended certain
approaches to assessing MSI, we have not performed any operational
testing of such approaches. Further examination of what parameters
are critical for forecasting the onset of MSI is essential.
- nature of the banding: Studies that bridge the gap
between observational and theoretical work on banding needs to be
performed.
- slantwise-convective parameterizations: Early research on
this topic showed much promise, yet seems to have been forgotten.
It's time to reinvestigate this topic.
- general nature of convection: The concept of convection
in general should be reconsidered to include not only upright
convection, but also slantwise convection and convection associated
with the release of inertial instability. Convective-symmetric
instability is one such example of the direction we should be headed.
Last update: 29 August 1999
|