NSSL Briefings
50th Anniversary of the first tornado forecast
to be celebrated March 23-25, 1998
by Charlie A. Crisp

On the evening of March 25, 1948, a tornado roared through Tinker Air Force Base, Oklahoma, causing considerable damage, a few injuries, but no fatalities. However, the destruction could have been much worse. A few hours earlier Air Force Captain Robert C. Miller and Major Ernest J. Fawbush correctly predicted that atmospheric conditions were ripe for tornadoes in the vicinity of Tinker AFB. This first official tornado forecast was instrumental in advancing the nation's commitment to protecting the American public and military resources from the dangers caused by natural hazards.


Fawbush and Miller, 1951. Photo courtesy of "Take-Off", Tinker AFB newspaper.

On March 23-25, 1998, NOAA's NWS (including the SPC, Norman Forecast Office, and WSR-88D Operational Support Facility) and NSSL, in cooperation with the University of Oklahoma, Tinker AFB and the U.S. Air Force Weather Agency will host an extended celebration in Norman, Oklahoma, and at Tinker AFB as a tribute to the first 50 years of tornado forecasting. This celebration will recognize the milestones in tornado forecasting over the past half-century, including the rapid advancements in severe weather watches and warnings that have been realized during the past few years through new observational systems (WSR-88D, GOES), increased knowledge, and better interactive computer systems (AWIPS).

The Golden Anniversary Celebration will also highlight the exciting future which lies ahead for integration of better scientific understanding and rapidly advancing computer systems into operational meteorological forecasting. Since NSSL and SPC in Norman are direct descendants of the first tornado forecast 50 years ago, special events will be scheduled highlighting severe weather research and forecasting. Special tours of NSSL and SPC will be available for interested groups. Included in the tours will be the opportunity to view SPC forecasters at work issuing severe thunderstorm and tornado watches for the U. S. A number of distinguished guests are invited to participate in the ceremonies including the Secretary of Commerce, NOAA Administrator and Directors of the NWS and Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, officials from Tinker AFB and Director of the U.S. Air Force Weather Agency. Invitations have also been extended to the Vice President, federal, state and local elected officials, and constituents.

For latest information about the celebration, use the internet to access the Golden Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting homepage. Come join us in celebrating the Golden Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting: 50 years of Service to the American Public.


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