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Forecast-related research at NSSL, current and future

A researcher looks at forecasting

Broad areas of concern

How do fronts behave?

Observed environmental proximity parameters

Days per year with favorable severe parameters

Forecasters examine point soundings from models

40h Eta CAPE forecast

SPC forecasters identified characteristic bias of Eta model

New approaches to processing model data

Tomorrow's forecast process?

Ensemble design

Probability of severe storms

Forecast evaluation

NWS tornado warning history

Performance scores for precipitation forecasts

Performance scores for precipitation forecasts

Forecasts: smooth, detailed

Attributes

SPC operations and collaborations since 1997

NSSL/CIMMS/SPC Spring Program

Improved weather forecasts from collaborations